CardVault
10 Signals · 5 Categories · Updated Daily · Free

Card Market Fear & Greed Index

Is the card market fearful or greedy today? Our daily sentiment gauge combines momentum, volume, sentiment, valuation, and volatility signals into one actionable score.

050100
67
Greed
Updated Friday, April 17, 2026

7-Day History

Sat
72
Greed
Sun
56
Neutral
Mon
70
Greed
Tue
84
Greed
Wed
68
Greed
Thu
82
Greed
Fri
66
Greed

What This Means for Collectors

  • Strong demand is driving prices higher across multiple categories.
  • New product releases likely to sell out quickly at or above MSRP.
  • Consider taking profits on cards that have appreciated significantly.

Signal Breakdown

momentum(20% weight)

Market Momentum

Trend direction of top card values over 30 days

67
Greed
momentum(15% weight)

Rookie Card Demand

Search volume and sales velocity for current-year rookies

82
Extreme Greed
volume(10% weight)

Auction Volume

Number of high-value card auctions ending this week

65
Greed
volume(10% weight)

eBay Sold Listings

Volume of completed card sales on eBay vs 90-day average

69
Greed
sentiment(10% weight)

Social Media Buzz

Card collecting mentions across social platforms

62
Greed
sentiment(5% weight)

Break Room Activity

Participation in group breaks and live rips

78
Greed
valuation(15% weight)

Price-to-Pop Ratio

Card prices relative to PSA population counts

60
Neutral
valuation(5% weight)

Sealed Product Premium

Sealed box prices vs original retail across major products

62
Greed
volatility(5% weight)

Price Volatility

Standard deviation of top-100 card price changes (inverted)

46
Neutral
volatility(5% weight)

Grading Submission Volume

Cards submitted to PSA/BGS/CGC vs historical average

67
Greed

How the Index Works

The Card Market Fear & Greed Index combines 10 signals across 5 categories into a single 0-100 score. Each signal measures a different aspect of market health, weighted by its predictive importance.

Momentum
35%
Price trends + rookie demand
Volume
20%
Auction activity + eBay sales
Sentiment
15%
Social buzz + break activity
Valuation
20%
Price-to-pop + sealed premium
Volatility
10%
Price swings + grading volume

Sentiment Scale

0-20
EF
Extreme Fear
21-40
F
Fear
41-60
N
Neutral
61-80
G
Greed
81-100
EG
Extreme Greed

Related Market Tools

Market Sentiment Index→Market Heat Map→Market Movers→Power Rankings→Daily Market Analysis→Portfolio Stress Test→

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Card Market Fear & Greed Index?▼
Inspired by CNN's Fear & Greed Index for stocks, our Card Market Fear & Greed Index combines 10 market signals into a single 0-100 score measuring overall card market sentiment. Scores below 40 indicate fear (potential buying opportunities), while scores above 60 indicate greed (potential overheating). Updated daily.
What signals make up the index?▼
The index tracks 10 signals across 5 categories: Momentum (35% weight — market trends and rookie demand), Volume (20% — auction activity and eBay sales), Sentiment (15% — social media buzz and break participation), Valuation (20% — price-to-population ratios and sealed premiums), and Volatility (10% — price swings and grading submission volume).
Should I buy when the index shows fear?▼
Historically in most markets, extreme fear often presents buying opportunities because prices drop below fair value due to panic selling. However, this is not financial advice — always do your own research and buy cards you personally enjoy collecting. The index is one tool among many for understanding market conditions.
How often is the index updated?▼
The index refreshes daily with new signal readings. The 7-day history chart shows how sentiment has shifted over the past week, helping you identify trends rather than reacting to a single day's reading.
Why does the index change by sport season?▼
Card market activity is heavily influenced by sports seasons. Baseball cards peak around Opening Day (February-April), football peaks before and during the NFL season (August-January), basketball peaks during the NBA season, and hockey follows a similar pattern. These seasonal cycles naturally affect market momentum, volume, and sentiment.