Mystery Repack Simulator
Pick a price tier. Open the mystery box. See if you won or lost. Track your running P&L.
Free to play. No account required. Learn what mystery boxes are really worth.
Pick Your Mystery Box
Mystery Box Reality Check
Most mystery/repack boxes sell at a markup. On average, you get 70-85% of what you pay in card value. The seller profit margin is built into the price.
The thrill of the unknown. Sometimes you hit big — a graded card, a rare auto, or a card worth 5x the box price. That possibility is what makes it fun.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is a mystery repack box?
Mystery repack boxes (also called "mystery packs" or "repacks") are pre-packaged boxes of cards assembled by third-party sellers. They contain a random mix of base cards, parallels, numbered cards, and sometimes autographs or relics. Unlike factory-sealed products, the contents are curated by the seller with advertised hit rates.
Are mystery boxes worth buying?
On average, mystery boxes return 70-85% of their price in card value — the seller builds their profit margin into the price. However, individual boxes can far exceed their cost if you hit a jackpot card. Use this simulator to get a feel for the variance before spending real money.
How does this simulator work?
Our simulator uses realistic probability distributions based on common mystery box hit rates. Each tier (from $10 to $100) has different odds for base cards, parallels, numbered cards, autographs/relics, and jackpot hits. The estimated values reflect current market ranges for those card types.
Should I buy mystery boxes or sealed hobby products?
For investment purposes, factory-sealed hobby products generally offer better expected value because there is no middleman markup. Mystery boxes are best for the entertainment value and the chance at a surprise hit. Use our Sealed Product EV Calculator to compare the math on factory products.